The Expatriate

The U.S. debt to GDP ratio hit 69% (10 trillion U.S. dollars) in September 2008 before the 750 billion U.S. dollars (or Obama's $ 819 billion, about 5% of GDP) Rescue operation. Their GNP is 14 trillion U.S. dollars, combined with consumer and corporate bonds from 123% and 140%, respectively, of that GDP. Faced with U.S. $ 59.1 trillion in government liabilities (including unfunded Medicare and Social Security obligations) it is deep in the red.

Depression II?

Lost Rising unemployment (2.39 million jobs from December 2007-2008) will increase with the safety of consumer loan Delinquency levels that are already at 25% in May 2008. Corporate debt securities threatens to burst the next bubble, projected at 23% by 2010 crime. Is it the Great Depression II? September 2008 signaled the worst financial recession in history, more than the great Japanese recession of the 1990s, where the decline in prices wiped out of corporate demand for assets representing 20% of GDP in Japan.

Because the U.S. financial system Toxic Assets seriously undermine their Balances, preventing a return to normal lending. Worse, the U.S. Treasury Department announced in November that the 750 billion U.S. dollars Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) would be used to encourage spending and lending so as not to absorb toxic assets. But Bernanke and Paulson were not easy, with 350 billion U.S. dollars rehabilitate the banks, the laggards are the balance of its former Wall Street colleagues, rather than fresh impetus to lending.

In the wonderment of Obama, why TARP does not work (and the $ 819 – or is it $ 950 – billion rescue package fails), our Economist as President noted that "the worst thing that America is nothing to do, "in Davos. In fact, setting, say a 50% minimum tender for Toxic Assets, with the U.S. government to guarantee the difference between this price and, finally, that the assets are sold, would immediately start lending banks' again. It would dispel the uncertainty, the financial system, where the unknowns are (per Knightian uncertainty perspective) are unknown, where people are afraid to act because they do not see the ground.

Holding Steady

The Philippine government debt to GDP ratio stands at 51.7%, down from the year 2005 is 71.2%, significantly better than the U.S.. The Management aims to 40.7% in 2010. During the recession in the United States threatened sales of export-dependent countries such as China and India, our service-oriented economy survived our "Export" – Filipino Expats – Demand in over 20 countries.

A word of caution: perhaps the riskiest sub-sector of our exports is our American expats, contributing about 56.1% of total remittances (November 2008 figures).

Only three Doomsday scenarios face business in the global economy – contraction: slow, slower and slowest. We live on good governance, the resilience and optimism. The average Filipino family never knew, American wealth, earning a $ 48,000 per capita GDP, spending less than 5% for residential mortgages, or $ 1 (the "One Peso") for McDonald's. Thusly, we are optimistic about the crisis: We can survive with tricycles and easygoing. We can weather financial Storms intensities, and identify and opportunities hidden in the darkness.

In view of our local taipans, now is the time of the institution's internal and external changes – With business acumen and cash positions are sufficient – for companies in turn, lean mean fighting machines in the Global Economic Meltdown required.

Taipans: Thoroughly Filipino Entrepreneurs

JG Summit Holdings, led by Lance Gokongwei, despite a 86.2% overall decline in 2008 net income, is considering a joint $ 0.4 billion venture (JV) with the Petroleum Authority of Thailand, for an expansion joint, so that they Bounding the Philippine market demand (among the top five for Petrochemicals are used) is.

San Miguel Corporation (SMC), Ramon Ang sold at 43% as Php54.2 billion euros) of his unit, Kirin (brewery in Japan, the funding its P32.2 billion Petron Corp. game, and their Php27.08 billion, 27% of the shares in Meralco. It is also bidding for the 620-megawatt (MW) Bataan Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Power Plant. Make strong moves into high-growth industries of power and infrastructure, while shedding businesses, since 1890, in the growth and potential plateaued.

Led by Tessie Sy-Coson, SM Prime Holdings, although stock values fall 5.7% in November last year to build its recent diversification into real estate, by associated development Hamilo Coast, a Batangas development of coastal areas to SM Mall of Asia, via ferry. It combines real estate, tourism and, of course, "Malling".

Do they know not what we do? Their actions show that reengineering will provide a modest growth during the downturn, but yields considerable Height, when the upturn comes. Their cash position is sufficient in that they probably diversification when it most cheaply in force.

In the business sector, Our Taipans have a capacity and agility, as prize-fighter Manny Pacquiao's. We should emulate these qualities: extraordinarily hard and fast in the global crisis. The next article explores principles, presented to the opportunities to benefit the crisis.

About the Author:

Teodorico Haresco is one of the Philippine’s leading businessmen, who has devoted his life to developing creative solutions that deliver long-term socio-economic benefits to his country and his countrymen. He is primarily known for his involvements in the President’s Bridge Program , a sustained infrastructure and fast-track rural development project spanning over 14 years and tailored to deliver a means towards countryside development.

Article Source: ArticlesBase.com – See the Moment, Seize the Day (1/3)

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